Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.232747 0.269966 0.311251 0.360449 0.417501 0.481604 0.559140
2025-05-25 0.166655 0.214184 0.272525 0.349454 0.448339 0.571340 0.736253
2025-06-01 0.138565 0.191206 0.260524 0.358591 0.494008 0.674817 0.935313
2025-06-08 0.117199 0.171343 0.246829 0.359919 0.525469 0.759659 1.117487
2025-06-15 0.102863 0.158084 0.238968 0.366307 0.562386 0.854013 1.322927
2025-06-22 0.088223 0.141748 0.223670 0.358471 0.575623 0.913354 1.481742
2025-06-29 0.077502 0.129675 0.212794 0.355203 0.594264 0.981587 1.661227
2025-07-06 0.069758 0.121185 0.206213 0.357453 0.621238 1.065144 1.874887
2025-07-13 0.065830 0.118467 0.208589 0.374635 0.674864 1.198475 2.189191
2025-07-20 0.061589 0.114575 0.208322 0.386873 0.720848 1.323258 2.503082
2025-07-27 0.057708 0.110786 0.207662 0.398073 0.765882 1.450872 2.837146
2025-08-03 0.053288 0.105401 0.203367 0.401768 0.796922 1.555558 3.139559
2025-08-10 0.048339 0.098500 0.195611 0.398234 0.814304 1.637699 3.411353
2025-08-17 0.043008 0.090198 0.184200 0.386091 0.813115 1.683433 3.615790
2025-08-24 0.040595 0.087556 0.183734 0.396194 0.858720 1.828822 4.047257
2025-08-31 0.037608 0.083322 0.179465 0.397663 0.886002 1.938825 4.415671
2025-09-07 0.035420 0.080539 0.177904 0.404727 0.926157 2.080709 4.872607
2025-09-14 0.032180 0.075014 0.169755 0.396062 0.929845 2.142370 5.152860
2025-09-21 0.029662 0.070838 0.164120 0.392447 0.944640 2.230632 5.506752
2025-09-28 0.027815 0.068015 0.161242 0.394936 0.974095 2.356147 5.966716
2025-10-05 0.027191 0.068057 0.165040 0.413937 1.045845 2.590492 6.727476
2025-10-12 0.026244 0.067188 0.166557 0.427470 1.105602 2.802445 7.458314
2025-10-19 0.025281 0.066165 0.167577 0.439856 1.163914 3.017490 8.225005